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AB Foods has again displayed the benefits of not having all of its eggs in one basket

The diversified nature of the group has gone some way in mitigating the extreme loss of revenues due to Primark store closures.

Article updated: 20 April 2021 12:00pm Author: Richard Hunter

Given that these results run until the end of February and that the latest lockdown was not across the board as was the case with the initial one, comparisons with the previous year are difficult but nonetheless the effects of the pandemic are stark. In this period alone, the estimated loss of sales was £1.1 billion.

Even in the brief period when stores were open, customers were generally less willing to travel on the basis of government guidelines and, in any event, many were carrying the burden of an uncertain jobs outlook. With this in mind, the performance which Primark delivered is commendable in the circumstances. In terms of outlook, the company has confirmed record sales in the week since the latest restrictions were eased on 12 April.

With the rollout of the brand into other geographies continuing, most notably the US where the business has now turned profitable, prospects are encouraging for a part of the business which is currently responsible for 35% of group revenues.

While Primark has been largely hamstrung by the pandemic, other parts of the business have seen the benefit of eating and baking at home, especially the Grocery division which accounts for 29% of sales. The adjusted operating profit for the residual businesses of Grocery, Sugar, Ingredients and Agriculture increased by 30% and lessened some of the Primark pain.

At the same time, careful financial management has left the group with net cash of £705 million at the end of the period, with an accompanying commitment to repay monies from the government scheme. This comes during a period when cash outflows were £860 million, £650 million of which came from Primark store closures and the loss of revenues. Thus, the reintroduction of a dividend of 6.2p is something of a token gesture at this stage, and will be reviewed as the trading year plays out. Given the circumstances, the move is perfectly prudent and allows some headway should trading conditions accelerate in the way the group would hope.

Overall, the group has a fight on its hands but has adjusted the factors within its control. Revenues may have dipped by 17% and pre-tax profit by 8%, but the group remains comfortably profitable with the return to some sort of normality an appealing prospect for its flagship brand in particular.

The share price performance reflects the careful way the business has been managed, having risen by 24% over the last year, as compared to a gain of 20% for the wider FTSE100. The particularly strong recent run of a price which has increased by 41% over the last six months may have resulted in some profit taking in early trade. Even so, with the way ahead beginning to clear as lockdowns ease, the market consensus of the shares as a strong buy suggests that AB Foods will be well placed to pounce on the recovery.

More from Richard Hunter: read more articles directly on the interactive investor website.

These views are those of the author alone and do not necessarily reflect the view of The Share Centre, its officers and employees.

Richard Hunter

Head of Markets, interactive investor

Richard has over 30 years of stockmarket experience and is one of the UK’s foremost commentators on market matters and a regular contributor for the BBC (BBC News Channel, Wake Up to Money and the Today Programme), CNBC and Bloomberg. Richard’s expert commentary also appears across the national and specialist press. He previously held senior positions at Hargreaves Lansdown and NatWest Stockbrokers.

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